Severe US tariffs imposed on Brazil and Vietnam, – the world’s two largest coffee producers – as well as poor harvests there, helped drive the surge. Both countries were hurt by the El Niño phenomenon, a cyclical weather pattern characterised by dry spells and aggravated by the climate crisis.
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Democratic strategists and politicians have long talked about a day when the state becomes a political battleground, only to have their hopes dashed. But this time, they believe that an unpopular president, uncertain economic conditions and a highly motivated base of support could tip the balance.